Skip to main content

Economical News- 27th Nov 2009

USD

The U.S. Dollar rebounded versus most major rivals except the Japanese Yen Thursday, benefiting from safe-haven flows amid fears of a potential sovereign debt default by Dubai. Dubai's shock move on Wednesday to restructure its biggest corporate debtor, Dubai World, and delay repayment on some of the company's $59 billion in liabilities, dented risk appetite across asset markets on Thursday, to the U.S Dollar's benefit.

Against the Japanese Yen the greenback headed for its worst month since December before a report next week that economists say will show U.S. business activity has declined, supporting the case for the Federal Reserve to keep borrowing costs near zero. The U.S. currency traded at $1.4945 per EUR from $1.5019 yesterday.

However the Dollar edged up from its lows against the Yen in early trading Friday as renewed risk aversion prompted investors to shed riskier assets, giving pause to broad Dollar selling. Market players also refrained from re-testing lows on the Dollar as trade thinned for the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.

But the Dollar-bearish sentiment remained intact on views U.S. interest rates would stay low for some time and on pressure for the dollar to weaken to correct the U.S.' imbalances.


EUR

The European currency declined sharply in holiday-thinned trade on Thursday as renewed risk aversion prompted investors to shed riskier assets. The EUR hovered near the day's low of $1.4960 down 1.1% for the day. The currency also hit a near 2-month low against the Japanese Yen at 129.52 yen.

The EUR extended losses as ratings agency Standard & Poor's put the credit ratings of four Dubai banks on negative outlook and stock market losses reached 3%. The negative outlook for the banks is due to their exposure to Dubai World, which is seeking a debt standstill. The Dubai World story has weighed heavily on stocks all day, prompting traders to cut back their dollar-funded positions.

The British Pound trimmed early losses but remained 1.4% lower versus the U.S dollar at $1.64. The Sterling also slid 0.4% vs. the EUR to 90.93 pence. Concerns about U.K. bank exposure to Dubai weighed on the Pound, analysts said. There are concerns with regard to the extent of the U.K. banking sector exposure in Dubai which is weighing on Sterling. The underlying picture for Sterling was already fundamentally weak and this news further adds to the bearish sentiment.



JPY

The Japanese Yen strengthened to a 14-year high against the U.S Dollar, rising past 85.00 to the greenback on speculation renewed risk aversion will enhance the allure of the Japanese currency as a refuge.

The Yen climbed as high as 85.83 per Dollar, the strongest since July 1995, before trading at 85.20 from 86.59 yesterday. The currency advanced to 128.87 per EUR from 130.03, after hitting 126.91, the highest since April 29.

Japan's currency did pare some of its earlier gains after Japan's Finance Minister told reporters in Tokyo he will contact authorities in the U.S. and Europe about currencies if necessary. Shizuka Kamei, Japan's financial services minister, also urged an international response to halt the rise in the country's currency. The market showed paid attention to the warning from the government today and bought back the USD. However the impact of verbal intervention may not last long unless the government takes actual action analysts said.




kishore

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

USDOLLAR to Benefit from Euro Summit Indecision

USDOLLAR to Benefit from Euro Summit Indecision European political leaders meet this Thursday for the 19th time to discuss the continent’s on-going sovereign debt crisis. A resolution to the crisis has been elusive with the strategy of austerity tipping weak economies into severe recessions. The weaker European Union economies are asking for lessened austerity measures and likely won’t receive it. This strategy stand-off could lead to a risk sell-off. In the event of risk sell off, the US Dollar stands to be the biggest beneficiary of Euro Summit indecision. Use the Donchian channel strategy to time entries and exits when buying the US Dollar. Last week, twitter was lit up with polls about how 55% of Germans want to abandon the Euro and return to their own currency. Germans are becoming tired of bailing out other high spending countries and not receiving any confidence on a balanced budget in return. Many economists have talked about how a Euro breakout will cost more for the Germans ...

Today's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis EUR/USD The Bollinger Bands are widened indicating increased volatility. This pair has been on a sharp upward trend over this week, but now indicators on the 4 H chart are beginning to give a bearish signal. However the daily chart is flat so there is a possibility of further bullish momentum today. GBP/USD On the 4 H chart we can see that this pair is near the top of horizontal channel. The Stochastic Slow is crossing above 80 and is a strong indication that we are in deep overbought territory and that a reversal may be imminent. Also RSI and Momentum are negatively, indicating further bearish movement. USD/JPY This pair fell sharply yesterday breaching the key 105.00 resistance level. The hourlies and daily charts are still giving a strong bearish signal. The next target price will be to breach 104.00 mark. USD/CHF This pair has been in a steady downward channel over the last few weeks. However this pair has made a sharp downward breakout this week, indicating that...

The Hidden Dangers of Forex Trading

By: John Howard If you decide to try making some quick money, that too fast, forex trading may be the one you should try. This will be an ideal arena for you to enter to try an alternative arrangement for earning some extra income other than your regular job. You can make it your primary job once you master the trading skills. The forex market is so huge that it may not be possible for an individual to be aware of the crucial changes that occur all over such as exchange rate fluctuations, political influences, and economic factors. Even the experienced bankers and traders can not predict how these changes can affect your trade. But this step has to be taken very cautiously as the forex trading is highly volatile, it is very, very large that it is easy for you to miss a turn that affect your investment, it is unpredictable, and has high risk involved. Forex trading involves dealing with the currencies of different countries. It is buying or selling of one currency for another at ...