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Showing posts with the label forex analysis

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD After peaking at the all time high of 1.5140 the pair now shows signs of bearish sentiment on the 4 hour chart. The daily chart still remains very bullish, which means that once the corrective move will consume its momentum, the bullish move will continue. Buying on dips might be a good choice of action before the weekend. GBP/USD The cable failed to breach through the 1.9950 level, which is a strong resistance and a key Fibonacci level. The bearish cross on the daily chart indicates on an upcoming corrective move that might take the cable below the 1.9750 on the local level. The 4 hour chart is giving mixed signals, which means that Forex traders must wait for a clear bearish signal on the hourly level before making an entry. USD/JPY The pair has made an aggressive bearish move within the flat channel of the daily chart, and is now approaching strong support. The 1 hour chart is showing local consolidation around the 106.20 level, and the bullish cross on the 4 hour chart is i...

EUR is likely to strengthen. ...

The EUR advanced yesterday vs.10 of the 16 most-active currencies in the past 5 days after the ECB policy makers expressed concerns that inflation in the Euro zone may quicken. The ECB officials also indicated that there is no change in their hawkish stance on Interest Rates. Therefore the EUR is likely to strengthen. The EUR also continues to benefit from the faulty condition of the USD. Besides the overwhelming strength and confidence being shown by the currency, the European economic forecast continues to release positive data. Yesterday's German Import Price Index printed at 0.8%, much higher than the forecasted 0.2%, while the British GDP remained stable at 0.6% Analysts predict that the Fed will lower the Interest Rate target by at least another 0.5 percentage point at next month's FOMC meeting. Meanwhile, the EUR could test 1.52 -53 levels in the short-term. The Fed has already lowered its benchmark overnight lending rates by 2.25 percentage points to 3% since last Septe...

The USD Continues To Be Under Pressure..

Yesterday, the USD fell to a record low vs. the EUR on expectations that the Fed will cut Interest Rates aggressively, despite stubborn inflation. Momentum in the EUR/USD pushed the pair through the closely watched 1.50 level and quickly surpassed 1.51 in the same session. The U.S. currency traded at the 1.5108 level vs. the EUR at 12:45 p.m. in Tokyo, after earlier touching the 1.5144 level. The greenback retreated after Bernanke said that the Fed will act in a timely manner to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks. The Fed has lowered benchmark overnight interest rates to 3% from 5.25% since September and financial markets expect policy makers to lower them by a further 0.5 percentage point at their next meeting on March 18. Meanwhile, the bad news out of the U.S. continued to mount. Data out yesterday revealed that Durable Goods Orders fell 5.3% in January, the most in 5 months, compared with the 4% forecast. The report added fears of a U.S. economi...